Ohio State is No. 7 in the Sagarin rankings, behind even Wisconsin, a team that the Buckeyes beat 31-24 in Columbus back in September. The Buckeyes average margin of victory is 31 points.
According to Sagarin’s ratings, Ohio State has played the 81st toughest schedule in Division I. Florida State’s is 62nd.
Ranking conferences, Sagarin goes by division because as conferences have grown, there is less competition between divisions.
The ACC Coastal ranks fifth, behind the SEC West, Pac-12 North, Pac-12 South and SEC East. The Big 12, with 10 teams and no divisions, is next, followed by the two Big Ten divisions. The ACC Atlantic, home of Florida State, comes in ninth.
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At www.footballoutsiders.com, a leading web site for football numbers crunchers, they have combined the ratings of two top stat heads — Brian Fremeau and Bill Connelly — to come up with a rating called F/+.
According to F/+, which takes into account not just results of games but results of possessions and plays, Florida State came into this past weekend as the No. 2 team in the country behind Alabama. Safe to assume the Seminoles latest demolition, a 59-3 victory against Wake Forest, won’t hurt their numbers.
Ohio State, which did not play, was seventh.
The F/+ conference ratings have the Pac-12 first, then the SEC, way out in front of the rest. The Big 12 is next, and then the Big Ten, followed by the ACC, but those three are separated by fractions.
According to Fremeau’s strength of schedule ratings, Florida State has played the 83rd toughest schedule in FBS. Ohio State’s strength of schedule came in at 103.
Those strength of schedule numbers could shift a bit toward Ohio State over the last month of the season. The Buckeyes finish with Illinois, Indiana and Michigan, with a possible Big Ten championship game against Michigan State on the horizon. Florida State finishes with Syracuse,